Is it possible to work out the probability of humans becoming colonists and going to other planets?

Question: Is it possible to work out the probability of humans becoming colonists and going to other planets?
- Keywords:
  life,
  planets,
  probability
Asked by Grace on 13 Jan 2020.
- James Bentham answered on 13 Jan 2020:
  
  Even with lots of data and the best statistical models we can produce, we still can’t ever see into the future. (Be sceptical of anyone making predictions using statistics).
- Amy Mason answered on 14 Jan 2020:
  
  You might like to think about this problem with Fermi estimation – see https://oxplore.org/question-detail/do-aliens-exist#781

Question: Is it possible to work out the probability of humans becoming colonists and going to other planets?